Modelling migration patterns – challenges and opportunities
Session
Keynote speakers
Abstract
After the financial crisis the migration pattern changed dramatically. Increasing national urbanization and the eastward enlargement of the EU under the provision of free movement of citizens within the EU, results in migration towards the wealthy Northern European countries. Also, the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria has created a huge movement of refugees to Northern Europe, including Denmark. These changed patterns became a rather big challenge for making projections of the future population development. Our analysis shows the results of the new migration patterns, and we will demonstrate how population modelling can be adapted to take into consideration the new migration trends.
Målgruppe
The target group of this keynote presentation is the audience of the Nordic Conference on Geodemographics.
Yderligere uddybning af abstract
Until recent years migration was mainly related to movements between different national addresses.
The young people moved to the larger cities with education opportunities and then back again after education, aiming at building a family.
Typically, they stayed there the rest of their lives. After the financial crisis this pattern changed dramatically. The younger people kept staying in the larger cities after ending their education and built families there. Furthermore, the enlargement of the EU with the Central- and Eastern European countries provides free movement of their citizens within the EU.
This created a migration towards the wealthy North-European countries. Finally, the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria created a huge movement of refugees to Northern Europe, including Denmark. These changed patterns became a rather big challenge for making projections of the future population development.
The presentation will present analysis results of the new migration patterns, and how population modelling can be adapted to take into consideration the new migration trends as described above.
